来自 奇迹 2019-06-06 08:45 的文章

一家零售业巨头的70年自毁之路

今年4月西尔斯宣布要开三家小型门店,从而收获了近几年最友善的媒体关注。《今日美国》在充满希望的标题中说“西尔斯新时代的开始?这家零售商宣布开店,而不是关闭”,引发了美国媒体的共鸣。

但仔细品味就会发现,媒体报道中更多的是怜惜,而不是振奋。对这家昔日的全球零售巨人来说,现在新闻中的好消息却只是:三家门店,其中一家设在阿拉斯加,西尔斯的前CEO艾迪·兰伯特的房子都比这些门店要大,门店内的商品搭配也有些令人困惑,大多是家电和床垫。西尔斯坚持说这番“小动作”是一项新战略的开端,将带来“一家更强大、盈利更多的公司”。而零售业的同行们都不觉得西尔斯还有机会。长期从事零售咨询的波特·弗里金格指出:“兰伯特推出的模式没有不失败的。”西尔斯前高管史蒂夫·丹尼斯的看法是:“这些举措最终会毫无收获,带来或带走一些微不足道的东西。”

14年来西尔斯关闭了3500多家门店,并在去年秋天申请破产,现在它可以利用一些真正的好消息了。该公司的发言人表示,申请破产以后西尔斯“有许多可以使其致胜的资产和优势”。但实际上,除了兰伯特,别人都不相信西尔斯能够扭转命运,而且从2005年兰伯特的对冲基金ESL Investments收购西尔斯并将其与凯马特合并后,他就已经让大家明白不要相信他的那些乐观言论。尽管兰伯特预言“战略转型”会让西尔斯变成“真正伟大的零售企业”,但2010年以来该公司的年收入一直都没能增长,也没有实现任何利润。最新的剧情反转是:西尔斯控股,也就是将资产转让给兰伯特的破产实体已经起诉兰伯特等人,理由是后者在担任CEO期间侵吞了公司数十亿美元资金。兰伯特和ESL Investments则否认自己有任何行为不当之处。

 

The kindest media attention Sears has attracted in years arrived in April, when the company announced it was opening three small stores. “The start of a new Sears era? The retailer announces openings, not closings,” read USA Today’s hopeful headline, which echoed others nationwide.

But viewed through a longer lens, the coverage was more pathetic than upbeat. This is what now passes for good news at the onetime colossus of global retailing: three stores, one of them in Alaska, each smaller than owner Eddie Lampert’s house, offering a somewhat puzzling product line consisting mostly of appliances and mattresses. Sears insists this tiny event is the leading edge of a new strategy for becoming “a stronger, more profitable business.” No one else in retailing seems to think it has a chance. “Lampert has never initiated a format that didn’t fail,” notes longtime retail consultant Burt Flickinger. The verdict of consultant Steve Dennis, a former Sears executive: “It will almost certainly amount to zilch, plus or minus bubkes.”

After shedding more than 3,500 stores over the past 14 years and filing for bankruptcy last fall, Sears could use some genuine good news. A Sears spokesman says the post-bankruptcy business “has many assets and advantages that position the company for success.” But virtually no one other than Lampert expects a reversal of fortune, and he has taught the world not to believe the happy talk he has been dispensing since ESL Investments, his hedge fund, bought Sears in 2005 and merged it with Kmart. Despite Lampert’s predictions of a “strategic transformation” that would make Sears “a truly great retail business,” the company hasn’t managed a single year of revenue growth since then, or earned a dime of profit since 2010. The latest twist: Sears Holdings, the bankrupt entity that sold its assets to Lampert, is suing him and others for stripping the company of billions when he was CEO. Lampert and ESL have denied any wrongdoing.

 

打造繁荣:密西西比州杰克逊市的一家西尔斯门店,1949年。西尔斯在20世纪40年代决定扩张业务网络,这是它在二战后的增长期实现垄断的关键。图片来源:Bettmann Archive—Getty Images

即使是今天,纯粹的惯性或许也能够让西尔斯品牌维持下去。虽然受了致命伤,但在截至去年10月底的12个月中,西尔斯仍然实现收入132亿美元。但对这家公司来说,唯一重要的问题是它能够撑多久。丹尼斯的结论是:“没有哪项业务有任何生存能力。”保险公司Allstate的CEO汤姆·威尔森曾经于20世纪80、90年代在西尔斯担任高管,他说兰伯特“是清理炉灰的锅炉工。西尔斯根本不可能起死回生。”